── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Nuno Borges
66%34%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 58% / 42%
Grass: 71% / 29%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Nuno Borges
81th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Nuno Borges
67th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
POR
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Nuno Borges
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 3-6 6-3 |
| 2026-01-19 | Australian Open | Hard | R128 | Nuno Borges | 3-6 6-4 6-4 0-0 RET |
| 2025-02-24 | Dubai | Hard | R16 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 6-3 7-5 |