── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 76% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Tallon Griekspoor
76%24%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
82th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
20th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#70
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
NED
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Tallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard2–0
Grass1–1
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQFFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 6-2
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassSFTallon Griekspoor6-4 6-4
2022-06-06s HertogenboschGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 7-6(5)
2018-08-27US OpenHardQ1Felix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-3