── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Tallon Griekspoor
74%26%
Hard: 71% / 29%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Tallon Griekspoor
84th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Tallon Griekspoor
29th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#52
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
NED
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeTallon Griekspoor
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard20
Grass11
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-09RotterdamHardQFFelix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 6-2
2025-06-22MallorcaGrassSFTallon Griekspoor6-4 6-4
2022-06-06s HertogenboschGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime7-6(2) 7-6(5)
2018-08-27US OpenHardQ1Felix Auger Aliassime7-5 6-3