── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Valentin Vacherot
65%35%
Hard: 66% / 34%
Clay: 66% / 34%
Grass: 92% / 8%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
86th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
56th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#29
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
MON
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeValentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-27Paris MastersHardQFFelix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-2