── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Valentin Vacherot
64%36%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 67% / 33%
Grass: 95% / 5%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Valentin Vacherot
87th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Valentin Vacherot
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#32
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
MON
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Valentin Vacherot
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-27 | Paris Masters | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-2 6-2 |