── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Alexei Popyrin
79%21%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 63% / 37%
Grass: 74% / 26%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
193cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | Clay | R64 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 4-6 7-5 |
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | R32 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 7-6(5) |