── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Brandon Nakashima
56%44%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 69% / 31%
Grass: 52% / 48%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
USA
193cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 5-7 6-1 7-6(4) 7-6(1) |
| 2022-10-10 | Florence | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-3 6-4 |