── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Jesper De Jong
80%20%
Hard: 92% / 8%
Clay: 57% / 43%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Jesper De Jong
32th · below avg
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Jesper De Jong
44th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#84
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
NED
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Jesper De Jong
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2025-01-27 | Montpellier | Hard | SF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 7-6(4) |