── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
73%27%
Hard: 82% / 18%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 94% / 6%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
46th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#11
model rank
#62
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
ARG
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Juan Manuel Cerundolo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay0–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-5 6-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 7-6(5) 6-4 |