── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Rinky Hijikata
80%20%
Hard: 80% / 20%
Clay: 91% / 9%
Grass: 69% / 31%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Rinky Hijikata
18th · poor
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Rinky Hijikata
50th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#95
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
AUS
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Rinky Hijikata
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-08-31US OpenHardR128Felix Auger Aliassime7-5 4-6 6-3 7-5