── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 85% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
85%15%
Hard: 86% / 14%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 75% / 25%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
89th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#133
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–1
Grass1–0
Clay1–0
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-4
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-4
2025-05-18HamburgClayR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-4
2024-10-21BaselHardR16Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-1 7-6(6)