── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 82% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
82%18%
Hard: 84% / 16%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 64% / 36%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
94th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#9
model rank
#98
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Felix Auger AliassimeGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
Grass10
Clay10
── 4 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-02-23DubaiHardR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-4
2025-06-09StuttgartGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-4 6-4
2025-05-18HamburgClayR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-2 6-4
2024-10-21BaselHardR16Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard6-1 7-6(6)