── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Roman Andres Burruchaga
81%19%
Hard: 93% / 7%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 89% / 11%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Roman Andres Burruchaga
13th · poor
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Roman Andres Burruchaga
82th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#103
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
ARG
193cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Roman Andres Burruchaga
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay2–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-28Roland GarrosClayR64Felix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-0 7-5 6-1
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR64Felix Auger Aliassime4-6 6-0 7-5 6-1