── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 81% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Gabriel Diallo
81%19%
Hard: 79% / 21%
Clay: 80% / 20%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#93
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
CAN
193cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Gabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-3 |
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-2 7-5 |