── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 86% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Vilius Gaubas
86%14%
Hard: 87% / 13%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 85% / 15%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Vilius Gaubas
16th · poor
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Vilius Gaubas
17th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#141
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
LTU
193cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Vilius Gaubas
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-22Madrid MastersClayR64Felix Auger Aliassime6-3 6-4