── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 61% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Raphael Collignon
61%39%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 85% / 15%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Raphael Collignon
78th · strong
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Raphael Collignon
83th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#23
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
BEL
193cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Raphael Collignon
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Brussels | Hard | SF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 7-6(2) 6-4 |