── the model's take · model grid · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Arthur Fils
54%46%
Hard: 59% / 41%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Arthur Fils
92th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Arthur Fils
84th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#7
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CAN
country
FRA
193cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Arthur Fils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
Clay0–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R16 | Arthur Fils | 6-3 7-6(9) |
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | QF | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-05-22 | Lyon | Clay | QF | Arthur Fils | W/O |