── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 58% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Felix Auger Aliassime
Ben Shelton
58%42%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 45% / 55%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Ben Shelton
98th · elite
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
81th · strong
Ben Shelton
20th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#9
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
USA
193cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Ben Shelton
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Tour Finals | Hard | RR | Felix Auger Aliassime | 4-6 7-6(7) 7-5 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R32 | Felix Auger Aliassime | 6-4 6-2 6-1 |