── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Felix Auger Aliassime 56% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Felix Auger Aliassime
Learner Tien
56%44%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 64% / 36%
Grass: 83% / 17%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Felix Auger Aliassime
95th · elite
Learner Tien
63th · average
Return
Felix Auger Aliassime
76th · strong
Learner Tien
95th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#11
model rank
#19
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
CAN
country
USA
193cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Felix Auger Aliassime■ Learner Tien
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Grass1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-06-17HalleGrassR16Felix Auger Aliassime6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5)