── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Adrian Mannarino
74%26%
Hard: 75% / 25%
Clay: 84% / 16%
Grass: 41% / 59%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Adrian Mannarino
22th · below avg
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Adrian Mannarino
56th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#130
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
FRA
188cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Adrian Mannarino
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay2–0
Hard0–2
Grass0–1
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-4 6-3 |
| 2026-02-02 | Montpellier | Hard | R16 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-7(4) 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2023-07-17 | Newport | Grass | SF | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-3 6-1 |
| 2018-10-29 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Adrian Mannarino | 6-4 6-2 |