── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 71% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Kei Nishikori
71%29%
Hard: 72% / 28%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
84th · strong
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#43
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
JPN
188cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 6-4 6-3 |