── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Daniil Medvedev
26%74%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 20% / 80%
Grass: 29% / 71%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard3–1
Clay1–0
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(4) 3-6 6-3 |
| 2024-02-26 | Dubai | Hard | SF | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | QF | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 3-6 6-1 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Ugo Humbert | 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(2) |
| 2020-09-21 | Hamburg | Clay | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 6-4 6-3 |