── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Jordan Thompson
64%36%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Jordan Thompson
58th · average
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Jordan Thompson
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#80
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Jordan Thompson
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-01 | Shanghai Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-2 7-6(4) |
| 2024-08-12 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Jordan Thompson | 3-6 6-3 7-6(4) |
| 2024-01-01 | Brisbane | Hard | R16 | Jordan Thompson | W/O |