── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Karen Khachanov a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Karen Khachanov
47%53%
Hard: 57% / 43%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 35% / 65%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
RUS
188cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard1–1
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 3-6 7-6(3) |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | SF | Ugo Humbert | 6-7(6) 6-4 6-3 |
| 2021-07-24 | Tokyo Olympics | Hard | QF | Karen Khachanov | 7-6(4) 4-6 6-3 |