── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 74% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Nicolas Jarry
74%26%
Hard: 85% / 15%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 50% / 50%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Nicolas Jarry
81th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Nicolas Jarry
12th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#126
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CHI
188cm
height
201cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Nicolas Jarry
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
Hard2–0
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-14 | Munich | Clay | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2023-10-23 | Basel | Hard | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |
| 2023-08-07 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |