── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Reilly Opelka
68%32%
Hard: 69% / 31%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 68% / 32%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Reilly Opelka
96th · elite
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Reilly Opelka
0th · poor
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#100
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
188cm
height
211cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Reilly Opelka
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(0) 6-4 |