── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Frances Tiafoe
46%54%
Hard: 54% / 46%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 51% / 49%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#31
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–3
── 4 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R32 | Frances Tiafoe | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-08-16 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R64 | Frances Tiafoe | 7-5 7-6(9) |
| 2020-02-17 | Delray Beach | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-1 6-2 |
| 2019-11-05 | NextGen Finals | Hard | RR | Frances Tiafoe | 4-2 4-3(5) 3-4(4) 4-1 |