── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Matteo Berrettini
49%51%
Hard: 56% / 44%
Clay: 23% / 77%
Grass: 28% / 72%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
85th · strong
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#37
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
── 5 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | R128 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-2 6-2 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 7-6(6) |
| 2020-08-31 | Us Open | Hard | R64 | Matteo Berrettini | 6-4 6-4 7-6(6) |
| 2017-10-23 | Brest CH | Hard | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-0 |