── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 65% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Lorenzo Sonego
65%35%
Hard: 65% / 35%
Clay: 59% / 41%
Grass: 46% / 54%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Lorenzo Sonego
69th · average
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Lorenzo Sonego
40th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#87
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ITA
188cm
height
191cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Lorenzo Sonego
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Grass1–0
Clay1–3
── 9 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-13 | Stockholm | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-7(3) 6-0 6-3 |
| 2025-06-23 | Eastbourne | Grass | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2025-02-10 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2024-05-27 | Roland Garros | Clay | R128 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-4 2-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-04-08 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 5-7 6-3 6-1 |
| 2023-09-27 | Beijing | Hard | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 3-6 6-0 |
| 2023-05-29 | Roland Garros | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 6-4 6-3 7-6(3) |
| 2023-04-10 | Monte Carlo Masters | Clay | R64 | Lorenzo Sonego | 3-6 7-5 7-5 |
| 2021-08-09 | Canada Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-4 |