── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Ugo Humbert 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Denis Shapovalov
60%40%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 50% / 50%
Grass: 66% / 34%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Denis Shapovalov
51th · average
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Denis Shapovalov
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#66
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
CAN
188cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Denis Shapovalov
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass0–1
Hard2–0
Clay0–3
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-16 | Halle | Grass | R32 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-4 4-6 7-6(4) |
| 2023-03-06 | Indian Wells Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2022-05-02 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R64 | Denis Shapovalov | 7-6(1) 6-3 |
| 2020-09-14 | Rome Masters | Clay | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 |
| 2020-01-13 | Auckland | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2019-05-20 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Denis Shapovalov | 2-6 7-6(3) 6-2 |