── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alejandro Davidovich Fokina a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
47%53%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 30% / 70%
Grass: 57% / 43%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
58th · average
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#33
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
ESP
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–2
Clay0–1
Carpet1–0
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | SF | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 5-7 7-6(4) |
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | SF | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 7-6(4) 3-1 RET |
| 2024-02-05 | Marseille | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-02-06 | Montpellier | Hard | R32 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 1-6 7-6(2) 0-0 RET |
| 2021-04-26 | Estoril | Clay | QF | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2018-02-12 | Switzerland F2 | Carpet | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(7) 6-0 |