── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Alex De Minaur 70% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Alex De Minaur
30%70%
Hard: 35% / 65%
Clay: 19% / 81%
Grass: 26% / 74%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Alex De Minaur
77th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Alex De Minaur
98th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#8
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
AUS
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Alex De Minaur
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard2–3
Grass0–1
Clay0–2
── 8 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Rotterdam | Hard | SF | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-06-10 | s Hertogenbosch | Grass | SF | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2023-09-14 | Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs FRA | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(2) 6-3 |
| 2023-07-24 | Atlanta | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(4) 6-3 |
| 2022-05-16 | Lyon | Clay | R16 | Alex De Minaur | 1-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-04-18 | Barcelona | Clay | R32 | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 4-6 6-3 |
| 2022-01-03 | Atp Cup | Hard | RR | Alex De Minaur | 3-6 7-6(2) 6-1 |
| 2020-10-19 | Antwerp | Hard | F | Ugo Humbert | 6-1 7-6(4) |