── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Sebastian Korda 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Sebastian Korda
34%66%
Hard: 37% / 63%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 48% / 52%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
85th · strong
Sebastian Korda
90th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#14
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Sebastian Korda
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
Grass1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | Basel | Hard | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2021-06-14 | Halle | Grass | QF | Ugo Humbert | 6-2 6-7(5) 6-4 |