── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Sebastian Korda 64% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ugo Humbert
Sebastian Korda
36%64%
Hard: 43% / 57%
Clay: 38% / 62%
Grass: 38% / 62%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Sebastian Korda
90th · elite
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Sebastian Korda
92th · elite

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#39
model rank
#16
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
188cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ugo HumbertSebastian Korda
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Grass10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-10-20BaselHardR32Ugo Humbert6-3 6-4
2021-06-14HalleGrassQFUgo Humbert6-2 6-7(5) 6-4