── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Brandon Nakashima 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Brandon Nakashima
37%63%
Hard: 44% / 56%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
85th · strong
Brandon Nakashima
91th · elite
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Brandon Nakashima
69th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#18
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
188cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Brandon Nakashima
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard4–0
Grass1–0
Clay0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Tokyo | Hard | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-10-28 | Paris Masters | Hard | R64 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 4-6 6-4 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | R16 | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2024-07-01 | Wimbledon | Grass | R32 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6) |
| 2022-05-09 | Rome Masters | Clay | Q1 | Brandon Nakashima | 6-3 6-3 |
| 2018-08-27 | US Open | Hard | Q2 | Ugo Humbert | 7-6(4) 6-3 |

