── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Jack Draper a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Jack Draper
46%54%
Hard: 47% / 53%
Clay: 24% / 76%
Grass: 43% / 57%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
85th · strong
Jack Draper
95th · elite
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Jack Draper
94th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#44
model rank
#34
Hard
best surface
Clay
Left
hand
Left
FRA
country
GBR
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Jack Draper
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Grass1–0
Hard1–0
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Eastbourne | Grass | SF | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | QF | Ugo Humbert | 7-5 2-1 RET |