── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Tomas Machac a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Ugo Humbert
Tomas Machac
47%53%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 35% / 65%
Grass: 64% / 36%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Tomas Machac
72th · strong
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Tomas Machac
82th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#39
model rank
#35
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CZE
188cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Ugo Humbert■ Tomas Machac
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | Adelaide | Hard | F | Tomas Machac | 6-4 6-7(2) 6-2 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | Hard | SF | Ugo Humbert | 6-3 3-6 6-2 |