── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ugo Humbert 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ugo Humbert
Gabriel Diallo
66%34%
Hard: 68% / 32%
Clay: 55% / 45%
Grass: 47% / 53%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Gabriel Diallo
69th · average
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Gabriel Diallo
38th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#39
model rank
#93
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
CAN
188cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ugo HumbertGabriel Diallo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
Grass01
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-18Miami MastersHardR64Ugo Humbert6-1 6-4
2025-06-09s HertogenboschGrassSFGabriel Diallo6-3 7-6(4)