── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Ugo Humbert a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Ugo Humbert
Alex Michelsen
54%46%
Hard: 52% / 48%
Clay: 52% / 48%
Grass: 50% / 50%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Ugo Humbert
86th · strong
Alex Michelsen
59th · average
Return
Ugo Humbert
63th · average
Alex Michelsen
76th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#39
model rank
#47
Hard
best surface
Hard
Left
hand
Right
FRA
country
USA
188cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Ugo HumbertAlex Michelsen
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard11
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR64Alex Michelsen7-5 6-7(5) 7-6(6)
2024-01-01BrisbaneHardR32Ugo Humbert6-4 6-4