── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Daniil Medvedev 80% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yibing Wu
Daniil Medvedev
20%80%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 21% / 79%
Grass: 10% / 90%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yibing Wu
42th · average
Daniil Medvedev
78th · strong
Return
Yibing Wu
66th · average
Daniil Medvedev
99th · elite
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#5
Hard
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
RUS
183cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yibing Wu■ Daniil Medvedev
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–2
── 3 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-17 | Hangzhou | Hard | QF | Yibing Wu | 5-7 7-6(5) 6-4 |
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R16 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-08-29 | Us Open | Hard | R32 | Daniil Medvedev | 6-4 6-2 6-2 |