── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Yibing Wu a slight 53% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Yibing Wu
Alexei Popyrin
53%47%
Hard: 60% / 40%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 36% / 64%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Yibing Wu
42th · average
Alexei Popyrin
74th · strong
Return
Yibing Wu
66th · average
Alexei Popyrin
32th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#64
model rank
#75
Hard
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
CHN
country
AUS
183cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Yibing Wu■ Alexei Popyrin
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–1
── 2 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-21 | Washington | Hard | R32 | Yibing Wu | 7-5 5-7 6-3 |
| 2023-01-02 | Adelaide 1 | Hard | Q2 | Alexei Popyrin | 6-4 3-6 7-5 |