── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Martin Damm 60% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Martin Damm
40%60%
Hard: 27% / 73%
Clay: 82% / 18%
Grass: 11% / 89%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Martin Damm
80th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Martin Damm
5th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#88
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Martin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Camilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(5) 6-3