── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 57% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Martin Damm
57%43%
Hard: 36% / 64%
Clay: 83% / 17%
Grass: 24% / 76%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Martin Damm
82th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Martin Damm
2th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#109
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
203cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliMartin Damm
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersHardR128Camilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(5) 6-3