── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Gael Monfils a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Gael Monfils
48%52%
Hard: 22% / 78%
Clay: 71% / 29%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Gael Monfils
60th · average
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Gael Monfils
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#82
model rank
#73
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
FRA
185cm
height
193cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Gael Monfils
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Madrid Masters | Clay | R128 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-3 6-4 |