── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Kei Nishikori a slight 51% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Kei Nishikori
49%51%
Hard: 28% / 72%
Clay: 61% / 39%
Grass: 4% / 96%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Kei Nishikori
25th · below avg
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Kei Nishikori
73th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#126
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
JPN
185cm
height
178cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Kei Nishikori
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Hard1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | Cincinnati Masters | Hard | R128 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-5 6-3 |