── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 75% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Federico Coria
75%25%
Hard: 70% / 30%
Clay: 77% / 23%
Grass: 55% / 45%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Federico Coria
1th · poor
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Federico Coria
64th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#82
model rank
#169
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ARG
185cm
height
180cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Federico Coria
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–1
Hard0–1
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-24 | Santiago | Clay | QF | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-01-29 | Piracicaba CH | Clay | F | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-5 6-4 |
| 2023-11-13 | Montevideo CH | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(3) 6-0 |
| 2023-08-28 | Us Open | Hard | Q1 | Federico Coria | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2019-09-23 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | R32 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2015-05-11 | Argentina F5 | Clay | R32 | Federico Coria | 6-2 6-3 |