── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 54% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cristian Garin
54%46%
Hard: 53% / 47%
Clay: 53% / 47%
Grass: 8% / 92%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Cristian Garin
31th · below avg
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Cristian Garin
72th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#99
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
CHI
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliCristian Garin
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-07-14BastadClayR32Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4