── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 79% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Karen Khachanov
21%79%
Hard: 11% / 89%
Clay: 37% / 63%
Grass: 4% / 96%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Karen Khachanov
90th · elite
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
81th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#26
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Karen Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay1–0
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 6-4