── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Karen Khachanov 66% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Karen Khachanov
34%66%
Hard: 18% / 82%
Clay: 40% / 60%
Grass: 5% / 95%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Karen Khachanov
89th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Karen Khachanov
75th · strong

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#34
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
RUS
185cm
height
198cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliKaren Khachanov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-04-13BarcelonaClayR32Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 6-4