── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 84% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Frances Tiafoe
16%84%
Hard: 9% / 91%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 4% / 96%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Frances Tiafoe
77th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Frances Tiafoe
80th · strong
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#13
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |