── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Frances Tiafoe 67% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Frances Tiafoe
33%67%
Hard: 17% / 83%
Clay: 47% / 53%
Grass: 9% / 91%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Frances Tiafoe
70th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Frances Tiafoe
68th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#82
model rank
#31
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Frances Tiafoe
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Hamburg | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(3) 7-6(4) |