── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Alejandro Tabilo
27%73%
Hard: 15% / 85%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 15% / 85%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
17th · poor
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
38th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
58th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#131
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
CHI
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Alejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard0–1
Clay1–0
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR32Alejandro Tabilo6-4 6-2
2019-03-04Santiago CHClayR64Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4