── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Alejandro Tabilo 68% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Alejandro Tabilo
32%68%
Hard: 24% / 76%
Clay: 41% / 59%
Grass: 10% / 90%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Alejandro Tabilo
78th · strong
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Alejandro Tabilo
59th · average

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#30
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
CHI
185cm
height
188cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliAlejandro Tabilo
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard01
Clay10
── 2 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-01-12AucklandHardR32Alejandro Tabilo6-4 6-2
2019-03-04Santiago CHClayR64Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-4