── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Matteo Berrettini 73% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Matteo Berrettini
27%73%
Hard: 16% / 84%
Clay: 36% / 64%
Grass: 2% / 98%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Matteo Berrettini
94th · elite
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Matteo Berrettini
39th · below avg
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#37
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
ITA
185cm
height
196cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Matteo Berrettini
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay1–0
── 1 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Valencia CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 7-6(2) 6-4 |