── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 72% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Brandon Holt
72%28%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 96% / 4%
Grass: 17% / 83%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Brandon Holt
8th · poor
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Brandon Holt
24th · below avg

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#159
Clay
best surface
Hard
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliBrandon Holt
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Hard10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2025-03-19Miami MastersHardR128Camilo Ugo Carabelli2-6 7-6(5) 6-4