── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli a slight 52% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Emilio Nava
52%48%
Hard: 40% / 60%
Clay: 54% / 46%
Grass: 21% / 79%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
24th · below avg
Emilio Nava
54th · average
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50th · average
Emilio Nava
12th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#82
model rank
#92
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
USA
185cm
height
185cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

Camilo Ugo CarabelliEmilio Nava
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay10
── 1 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosClayR128Camilo Ugo Carabelli7-6(10) 6-3 6-3