── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court

Win probability

The model makes Camilo Ugo Carabelli 63% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Timofey Skatov
63%37%
Hard: 48% / 52%
Clay: 75% / 25%
Grass: 14% / 86%

An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.

── who holds the edge · vs the rated field

Serve & return matchup

Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Timofey Skatov
7th · poor
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Timofey Skatov
15th · poor

Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.

── head to head

Compare

#132
model rank
#176
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Right
ARG
country
KAZ
185cm
height
175cm
── model Elo over time

Trajectories

■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Timofey Skatov
── meetings by surface

Surface record

Clay3–0
── 3 meetings

Every meeting

datetournamentsurfrdwinnerscore
2026-03-30MarrakechClayR32Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-7(2) 6-3 6-4
2023-07-31Luedenscheid CHClayR16Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 5-7 7-6(5)
2023-02-13Buenos AiresClayQ1Camilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-1