── the model's take · from Elo · neutral court
Win probability
The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta 62% favourite on a neutral court; the surface splits below move it.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Facundo Diaz Acosta
38%62%
Hard: 55% / 45%
Clay: 45% / 55%
Grass: 42% / 58%
An analytical read from the model's Elo — not a betting signal.
── who holds the edge · vs the rated field
Serve & return matchup
Serve
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
18th · poor
Facundo Diaz Acosta
48th · average
Return
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37th · below avg
Facundo Diaz Acosta
70th · average
Model serve/return ratings as a percentile of the rated tour — the edge behind the win probability.
── head to head
Compare
#132
model rank
#78
Clay
best surface
Clay
Right
hand
Left
ARG
country
ARG
185cm
height
183cm
── model Elo over time
Trajectories
■ Camilo Ugo Carabelli■ Facundo Diaz Acosta
── meetings by surface
Surface record
Clay4–2
── 6 meetings
Every meeting
| date | tournament | surf | rd | winner | score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Rosario CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 5-7 6-4 7-6(4) |
| 2023-02-27 | Santiago | Clay | Q1 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2022-10-17 | Coquimbo CH | Clay | R16 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-3 6-1 |
| 2022-04-25 | Buenos Aires CH | Clay | R16 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2021-02-22 | Cordoba | Clay | Q2 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 4-6 6-3 6-2 |
| 2018-11-05 | Montevideo CH | Clay | Q3 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-4 6-2 |